Re: New infection statistics!
Originally Posted by
marciniak
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I still would have thought using the world mortality rate as an average ie; deaths per number of infections per day/week or month, would prove the best indicator
The number of deaths should give an idea to the number of infections.
So less recorded deaths must mean less infections.
Lack of tests will only produce fewer infections giving a false higher rate in Mortality.
And more testing should show a higher number of infections, which would show a lower mortality rate.
With a mortality rate showing anything from 2% and 16% ( guess) could hopefully mean there are many more unreported/unknown cases of covid 19…. Hopefully.
With government hoping new infection fall below 1000 per day should mean (approx) 800 deaths per week at present rate
Originally Posted by
marciniak
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Say the mortality rate is 3% (approx.)
If the death rate becomes zero for a number of days
But new covid cases rise so will the death rate.
If one death is recorded, should indicate 33 infections
If three deaths are recorded, should indicate 100 infections
No deaths should indicate less than 33 infections and falling.( Over a period of time)
Well that’s my take, and with the death rate rising at a lower percentage rate of the previous rises recently, and hospital admissions falling ,with an extra month lockdown I really hope this is a sign of better times are ahead, and again, hopefully not that far away either.
But all these calculists agree the actions of so called covid idiots screw up all test results and predicted forecasts.
But you ASSUME that new infections equal new deaths marciniak
That is not neccassarily so is it?
For example, it has been accepted that the majority of deaths take
place amongst the old and allready sick, and that younger healthy
individuals will survive or not even know that they had corona,
So if this is so then eventually the virus will kill all the weakly ones
and then have no more weak victims left to kill?
So the death rate will become zero but the new infections will rise?
This is how immunity is built up in communities eventually as the
weak are weeded out and the virus becomes unable to kill the rest
Yes your take could well turn out right, but my point is that it aint
neccassarily so, and the signs are improving but l await the next
two weeks results of new infections before l will ring any bells!
Donkeyman! 🤘🤘